2008년 연말 경제는 어디로 흘러 가나 :: 2008/12/23 09:17

/기타/투자

최근 2주 동안 코스피 전 고점이었던 1195를 넘기위한 치열한 공방이 있었다 때에 맞추어 뉴스들은 다시 주식 매입에 대한 기사들을 쏟아내고, 정부에서는 '외환위기 안정 잠정 결론' 이라는 이야기까지 나왔다. 우리나라는 역시 타짜의 장인지, 얼마나 사람들을 도박 시장으로 끌어 들이려 하는 지 참으로 난감하다. 이런 시기는 당연히 팔아야 하는 시기이다.

결국 코스피 지수는 하락세로 돌아서고 있다.

- 미국의 소비자 심리 지수 하락
- 미국의 제조업 지수 하락
- 미국 빅3 자동차 업체 구제금융 불확실
- 일본 도요타 1500억엔대 적자
- 이스라엘과 이란의 전쟁 대두 가능성
- 남북 관계 경색

등등등~ 악재만 늘어 놓은 것 같지만, 이 것 말고도 무수히 많다.

일단 유동성의 위기는 미국에서 달러를 무한정 찍어내고 있어서 한 고비 넘기기는 했다고 하지만,  유럽발 금융폭풍이 아직 남아 있다. 그리고 중국의 경제 긴축 관련 이야기들도 그렇고......

개인적으로 제일 걱정이 되는 것은, 내년 초기에 하이퍼 인플레이션이 도래하지 않나 싶은 것이다.

유동성 악화로 인해 세계 거의 모든 나라들이 자국 화폐를 계속 찍어내고 있다. 물론 그 중심에 있는 미국부터 시작하여...... 이는 당장 문제에 처해 있는 유동성 문제를 잠시 해결해 주지만, 유동성 문제가 본격적으로 해결이 되는 시점에서는 이미 늘어난 화폐들의 가치 하락으로 이어져 폭발적인 인플레이션을 야기시킬 수 있다는 점이 우려되는 부분이다.

이미 달러의 가치 하락이 시작되었다. 이는 원자재 및 타 화폐들이 달러대비 값어치 상승이라는 것이며, 그 속도는 점점 더 엄청난 가속력을 받지 않을까 싶다. 결국은 달러의 위상이 흔들리는 지경까지 이르게 되면 미국 국채에 대한 신뢰도 떨어지는 최악의 시나리오를 예상해 볼 수 있는데, 그 지경까지 가게 된다면 진정한 패닉 상태가 벌어지게 되는 것이라고 볼 수 있다.

세계 모든 나라들이 그 정도 수순까지 가지 않도록 어떻게든 달러의 값어치를 치키려고 노력을 할 것이다. 하지만, 정작 미국 자신이 먼저 살고 봐야 하는 처지에 놓여 있는 입장으로서 계속 달려를 찍어낼 예정이기에 달러화 자산을 가지고 있는 다른 나라들의 자산 가치가 점점 하락할 것으로 보인다.

거기에 한국 은행들의 파생상품의 손실은 과연 어느 정도일까?

내년 상반기는 패닉.....??


2008/12/23 09:17 2008/12/23 09:17
Trackback(55) : Comment(0)
Trackback Address :: http://errorcode.kr/tc/trackback/309

  • science

    Tracked from science | 2011/06/06 23:52 | DEL

    emma stone <a href="http://kokweiliang.com/mwemma-stone">emma stone</a> taylor lautner <a href="http://mov.eecssh.com/rxtaylor-lautner.html">taylor lautner</a>

  • icloud apple

    Tracked from icloud apple | 2011/06/07 11:58 | DEL

    antimatter http://home-basedbusiness-online.com/ccantimatter/ antimatter

  • congressman weiner

    Tracked from congressman weiner | 2011/06/07 18:22 | DEL

    paul revere <a href="http://gugulive.com/zkpaul-revere">paul revere</a> horton <a href="http://qixuan.kelvinkau.com/ljhorton">horton</a>

  • george stephanopoulos

    Tracked from george stephanopoulos | 2011/06/07 18:35 | DEL

    steve jobs health <a href="http://lourolls.com/jcsteve-jobs-health">steve jobs health</a> andrew breitbart <a href="http://newto.org/ltandrew-breitbart">andrew breitbart</a>

  • katie couric

    Tracked from katie couric | 2011/06/07 18:48 | DEL

    steve jobs health <a href="http://metaphysicalbeliefs.org/cqsteve-jobs-health.html">steve jobs health</a> bobby fischer <a href="http://peaceplanetproject.com/krbobby-fischer/">bobby fischer</a>

  • nintendo 3ds

    Tracked from nintendo 3ds | 2011/06/07 18:59 | DEL

    congressman weiner <a href="http://happyfitsofrage.com/wp-content/uploads/page.php?k=congressman-weiner">congressman weiner</a> bubba starling <a href="http://greenstormstudios.com/blog/wp-content/page.php?k=bubba-starling">bubba starling</a>

  • horton

    Tracked from horton | 2011/06/07 19:13 | DEL

    bubba starling <a href="http://rugbymovie.com/qrbubba-starling">bubba starling</a> congressman weiner <a href="http://natural-remedy.askruss.net/rtcongressman-weiner/">congressman weiner</a>

  • mark jackson

    Tracked from mark jackson | 2011/06/07 19:40 | DEL

    mark jackson <a href="http://backtoschoolbeliefs.com/pwmark-jackson.html">mark jackson</a> discovery channel <a href="http://backtoschoolbeliefs.com/pwdiscovery-channel.html">discovery channel</a>

  • sign language

    Tracked from sign language | 2011/06/07 19:53 | DEL

    paul revere <a href="http://sharpstep.com/mnpaul-revere/">paul revere</a> lenny dykstra <a href="http://ravingbikefiend.com/bwlenny-dykstra.html">lenny dykstra</a>

  • emily maynard

    Tracked from emily maynard | 2011/06/07 20:06 | DEL

    bubba starling <a href="http://kokweiliang.com/mwbubba-starling">bubba starling</a> mark jackson <a href="http://andriigrytsenko.net/zgmark-jackson.html">mark jackson</a>

  • george stephanopoulos

    Tracked from george stephanopoulos | 2011/06/07 20:18 | DEL

    paul revere <a href="http://www.zxcy.com/xgpaul-revere/">paul revere</a> icloud <a href="http://blog.decoplus-parquet.com/bsicloud/">icloud</a> bioshock infinite <a href="http://www.gilatravel.info/plbioshock-infinite/">bioshock infinite</a>

  • paul revere

    Tracked from paul revere | 2011/06/07 20:33 | DEL

    george stephanopoulos <a href="http://www.zanne.troqp.com/ztgeorge-stephanopoulos/">george stephanopoulos</a> lenny dykstra <a href="http://www.laking.net/phlenny-dykstra/">lenny dykstra</a> rep weiner <a href="http://housefriendship.bgettings.com/bsre...

  • paul revere

    Tracked from paul revere | 2011/06/07 21:17 | DEL

    nintendo 3ds <a href="http://meadowscounselingcenter.com/zmnintendo-3ds/">nintendo 3ds</a> horton <a href="http://alljust.com/cmhorton/">horton</a> ernest hemingway <a href="http://iceministries.org/ppernest-hemingway/">ernest hemingway</a>

  • science

    Tracked from science | 2011/06/07 23:43 | DEL

    literature <a href="http://symbiosisdev.com/phliterature">literature</a> mark jackson <a href="http://www.heyvan.com/GregsBroadcast/wpau-backup/page.php?k=mark-jackson">mark jackson</a>

  • history

    Tracked from history | 2011/06/07 23:54 | DEL

    history <a href="http://qixuan.kelvinkau.com/ljhistory">history</a> circulatory system <a href="http://benderbot.net/jgcirculatory-system.html">circulatory system</a>

  • shavuot

    Tracked from shavuot | 2011/06/08 00:10 | DEL

    entrepreneur <a href="http://lolcartoons.com/vgentrepreneur">entrepreneur</a> economics <a href="http://www.effectivemarketingonline.com/wseconomics">economics</a>

  • literature

    Tracked from literature | 2011/06/08 01:35 | DEL

    entrepreneur <a href="http://model.eroticvoyager.com/jfentrepreneur">entrepreneur</a> literature <a href="http://peaceplanetproject.com/krliterature/">literature</a>

  • psychology

    Tracked from psychology | 2011/06/08 02:52 | DEL

    mlb draft <a href="http://home-basedbusiness-online.com/ccmlb-draft/">mlb draft</a> psychology <a href="http://hunkythumbs.com/thumbs/page.php?k=psychology">psychology</a>

  • os x lion

    Tracked from os x lion | 2011/06/08 03:37 | DEL

    lauryn hill <a href="http://blog.bluedaring.com/cvlauryn-hill">lauryn hill</a> economics <a href="http://kokweiliang.com/mweconomics">economics</a>

  • economics

    Tracked from economics | 2011/06/08 04:17 | DEL

    mlb draft <a href="http://www.weddingspeechesandmore.com/fkmlb-draft">mlb draft</a> psychology <a href="http://gugulive.com/zkpsychology">psychology</a>

  • entrepreneur

    Tracked from entrepreneur | 2011/06/08 05:00 | DEL

    lauryn hill <a href="http://blog.brandhomework.com/bllauryn-hill.html">lauryn hill</a> lauryn hill <a href="http://democraticconventionboston.com/sqlauryn-hill.html">lauryn hill</a>

  • apple cloud

    Tracked from apple cloud | 2011/06/08 05:38 | DEL

    shavuot <a href="http://gaviotatravels.com/hdshavuot/">shavuot</a> technology <a href="http://mobilepaintdentrepair.com/prtechnology/">technology</a> wesley snipes <a href="http://www.semanticscoaching.com/kwwesley-snipes/">wesley snipes</a>

  • health

    Tracked from health | 2011/06/08 05:43 | DEL

    health <a href="http://maldenbowmen.org/tlhealth/">health</a> economics <a href="http://www.weddingspeechesandmore.com/fkeconomics">economics</a>

  • science

    Tracked from science | 2011/06/08 05:50 | DEL

    psychology <a href="http://tidyterascleaningservice.com/tjpsychology/">psychology</a> psychology <a href="http://www.greek-pc.com/gfpsychology/">psychology</a> scientific method <a href="http://www.pdsestu.org/vqscientific-method/">scientific method</a>

  • science

    Tracked from science | 2011/06/08 06:10 | DEL

    wesley snipes <a href="http://www.therantingpersian.com/wvwesley-snipes/">wesley snipes</a> human centipede <a href="http://carlaconte.org/lshuman-centipede/">human centipede</a> psychology <a href="http://blog.techgurus.com/gmpsychology/">psychology</a>

  • mark jackson

    Tracked from mark jackson | 2011/06/08 06:58 | DEL

    justin timberlake and mila kunis <a href="http://www.laking.net/phjustin-timberlake-and-mila-kunis/">justin timberlake and mila kunis</a> entrepreneur <a href="http://sims2.starlight-tales.com/blog/wp-content/page.php?k=entrepreneur">entrepreneur</a> e...

  • technology

    Tracked from technology | 2011/06/08 07:35 | DEL

    mlb draft <a href="http://housefriendship.bgettings.com/bsmlb-draft/">mlb draft</a> health <a href="http://yaht.su/wp-content/backup-1c9e7/page.php?k=health">health</a> economics <a href="http://www.wavesandwoods.com/ddeconomics/">economics</a>

  • economics

    Tracked from economics | 2011/06/08 08:13 | DEL

    psychology <a href="http://mdshortsalerealestate.com/pppsychology/">psychology</a> health <a href="http://ads.quotesincan.com/wp-content/themes/page.php?k=health">health</a> os x lion <a href="http://www.pistol-grip.net/lgos-x-lion/">os x lion</a>

  • economics

    Tracked from economics | 2011/06/08 08:53 | DEL

    psychology <a href="http://housefriendship.bgettings.com/bspsychology/">psychology</a> economics <a href="http://www.marcvidalalsina.com/xbeconomics/">economics</a> wesley snipes <a href="http://blog.mobida2.com/vmwesley-snipes/">wesley snipes</a>

  • health

    Tracked from health | 2011/06/08 10:17 | DEL

    circulatory system <a href="http://www.zigarren-aficionado.com/grcirculatory-system/">circulatory system</a> justin timberlake and mila kunis <a href="http://kaka8.info/xkjustin-timberlake-and-mila-kunis/">justin timberlake and mila kunis</a> piper per...

  • apple cloud

    Tracked from apple cloud | 2011/06/08 12:15 | DEL

    technology <a href="http://mmalegalspot.com/hptechnology/">technology</a> economics <a href="http://www.sewshell.com/dgeconomics/">economics</a> justin timberlake and mila kunis <a href="http://www.pistol-grip.net/lgjustin-timberlake-and-mila-kunis/">j...

  • technology

    Tracked from technology | 2011/06/08 12:48 | DEL

    health <a href="http://www.burillominielli.com/twhealth/">health</a> economics <a href="http://ainfra.net/dpeconomics/">economics</a> scientific method <a href="http://www.baggingrights.com/rkscientific-method/">scientific method</a>

  • printable map of northern europe

    Tracked from printable map of northern europe | 2011/08/03 21:40 | DEL

    free plastic canvas printable patterns <a href="http://www.fojavi.com/blfree-plastic-canvas-printable-patterns/">free plastic canvas printable patterns</a> free printable kids borders <a href="http://trinidad-portal.com/tmp/configs/page.php?k=free-prin...

  • sesame street letter printables

    Tracked from sesame street letter printables | 2011/08/03 23:15 | DEL

    june 2008 printable calendar <a href="http://www.epcool.fi/tmp/templates_c/page.php?k=june-2008-printable-calendar">june 2008 printable calendar</a> rosary prayers book printable <a href="http://www.finball.ru/lsrosary-prayers-book-printable/">rosary p...

  • printable word puzzles for adults

    Tracked from printable word puzzles for adults | 2011/08/04 00:31 | DEL

    printable tropical wedding invitations <a href="http://vnukovosch.edu.dmitrov-reg.ru/old/check/page.php?k=printable-tropical-wedding-invitations">printable tropical wedding invitations</a> printable children's monthly calendar <a href="http://www.fahre...

  • printable chicago cubs pictures

    Tracked from printable chicago cubs pictures | 2011/08/04 03:12 | DEL

    printable candy bar wrappers <a href="http://www.poljskidom.hr/tgprintable-candy-bar-wrappers/">printable candy bar wrappers</a> printable peter babbit board game <a href="http://www.cityextreme.com/mvprintable-peter-babbit-board-game/">printable peter...

  • us time zone printable map

    Tracked from us time zone printable map | 2011/08/04 03:28 | DEL

    free printable scrabble tiles <a href="http://kleidermarkt.zarpen.de/tmp/templates_c/page.php?k=free-printable-scrabble-tiles">free printable scrabble tiles</a> online printable math worksheets <a href="http://www.drudecja.de/zgonline-printable-math-wo...

  • printable thanksgiving place tags

    Tracked from printable thanksgiving place tags | 2011/08/04 06:01 | DEL

    free happy birthday printable <a href="http://www.cmsms.kluvers.net/xzfree-happy-birthday-printable/">free happy birthday printable</a> free printable drawing conclusions worksheets <a href="http://www.kebabylon.net/styles/prosilver/page.php?k=free-pri...

  • pinewood derby printable patterns

    Tracked from pinewood derby printable patterns | 2011/08/04 07:26 | DEL

    free happy birthday printable <a href="http://www.fabersfabler.dk/lib/sllists/page.php?k=free-happy-birthday-printable">free happy birthday printable</a> printable classroom jobs poster <a href="http://www.rcstreet.ru/rpower/video/page.php?k=printable-...

  • free printable sat study guide

    Tracked from free printable sat study guide | 2011/08/04 08:49 | DEL

    free editable printable bookmarks <a href="http://mussock.co.nz/tmp/configs/page.php?k=free-editable-printable-bookmarks">free editable printable bookmarks</a> printable addition math games <a href="http://www.canyonfishingcharters.com/tmp/cache/page.p...

< PREV | 1| ... 19|20|21|22|23|24|25|26|27| ... 179| NEXT >